La Liga · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Racing Santander
VS
Valencia
Racing Santander win
71%
Draw
21%
Valencia win
8%
Expected goals
2.2 – 0.7
Expected shots
12 – 12
Match analysis
Racing Santander dominates this matchup: 71% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for Valencia. Racing Santander frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 59% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:11 (UK time).