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Paris FC vs Rennes prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Paris FC 4 – 3 Rennes

The outcome rated most likely (a Paris FC win, 54%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Paris FC
VS
Rennes
Paris FC win
54%
Draw
28%
Rennes win
18%
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.8
Expected shots
12 – 17

Match analysis

Paris FC comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Rennes finds a way in 18% of simulations. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 15:36 (UK time).

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