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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)

Final score: Nottingham Forest 0 – 1 Arsenal

The outcome rated most likely (a Arsenal win, 65%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Nottingham Forest
VS
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest win
15%
Draw
20%
Arsenal win
65%
Expected goals
1.1 – 2.3
Expected shots
9 – 20

Match analysis

Arsenal comes out on top in most scenarios (65% win rate), but Nottingham Forest finds a way in 15% of simulations. Arsenal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 49% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 16:25 (UK time).

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