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Nice vs Lille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Nice 2 – 1 Lille

The model gave a Nice win only 33%. At 33%, an outcome happens about 33 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Nice
VS
Lille
Nice win
33%
Draw
32%
Lille win
35%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Expected shots
16 – 9

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 15:23 (UK time).

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