Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
NEC Nijmegen
VS
Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen win
33%
Draw
34%
Levski Sofia win
33%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Expected shots
11 – 15
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia finish within a few points of each other (33% vs 33%), with the draw at 34%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).