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Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Marseille 1 – 2 Paris Saint Germain

The model gave a Paris Saint Germain win only 34%. At 34%, an outcome happens about 34 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Marseille
VS
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille win
37%
Draw
29%
Paris Saint Germain win
34%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.5
Expected shots
13 – 25

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 18:53 (UK time).

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