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Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Marseille
VS
Olympiakos Piraeus
Marseille win
36%
Draw
32%
Olympiakos Piraeus win
32%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Expected shots
14 – 18

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus finish within a few points of each other (36% vs 32%), with the draw at 32%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).

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