Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)

Liverpool

VS

Manchester City

Liverpool win

18%

Draw

28%

Manchester City win

54%

Match analysis

Manchester City comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Liverpool finds a way in 18% of simulations. Manchester City frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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