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Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Le Havre 1 – 3 Auxerre

The model gave a Auxerre win only 33%. At 33%, an outcome happens about 33 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Le Havre
VS
Auxerre
Le Havre win
43%
Draw
24%
Auxerre win
33%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.6
Expected shots
18 – 16

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Le Havre and Auxerre finish within a few points of each other (43% vs 33%), with the draw at 24%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 15:36 (UK time).

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