Serie A · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Final score: Juventus 0 – 3 Lazio
The model gave a Lazio win only 21%. At 21%, an outcome happens about 21 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Juventus
VS
Lazio
Juventus win
53%
Draw
26%
Lazio win
21%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.0
Expected shots
19 – 8
Match analysis
Juventus comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Lazio finds a way in 21% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 18:55 (UK time).