Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Final score: Juventus 2 – 0 Atalanta
The outcome rated most likely (a Juventus win, 49%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Juventus
VS
Atalanta
Juventus win
49%
Draw
35%
Atalanta win
16%
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.6
Expected shots
19 – 11
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 16:23 (UK time).