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HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

HNK Hajduk Split
VS
Ajax
HNK Hajduk Split win
19%
Draw
24%
Ajax win
57%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.3
Expected shots
10 – 24

Match analysis

Ajax comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but HNK Hajduk Split finds a way in 19% of simulations. Ajax frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 45% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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