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Gent vs Aarhus prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Gent
VS
Aarhus
Gent win
31%
Draw
30%
Aarhus win
39%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
14 – 20

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Gent and Aarhus finish within a few points of each other (30% vs 39%), with the draw at 30%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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