The outcome rated most likely (a Fulham win, 57%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Fulham
Hull CityFulham comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Hull City finds a way in 15% of simulations. Fulham frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 14:00 (UK time).
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