Estac Troyes vs Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Estac Troyes

VS

Marseille

Estac Troyes win

27%

Draw

29%

Marseille win

44%

Match analysis

Marseille holds a real edge (44% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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