Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Celta Vigo
VS
Juventus
Celta Vigo win
25%
Draw
31%
Juventus win
44%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.6
Expected shots
8 – 23
Match analysis
Juventus holds a real edge (44% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).