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Cagliari vs Juventus prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Cagliari
VS
Juventus
Cagliari win
22%
Draw
33%
Juventus win
45%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.4
Expected shots
6 – 25

Match analysis

Juventus holds a real edge (45% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 45% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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