Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Brighton
VS
Kauno Žalgiris
Brighton win
87%
Draw
10%
Kauno Žalgiris win
3%
Expected goals
3.6 – 0.9
Expected shots
22 – 11
Match analysis
Brighton dominates this matchup: 87% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Kauno Žalgiris. Brighton frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 77% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).