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Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Bournemouth
VS
Sturm Graz
Bournemouth win
69%
Draw
22%
Sturm Graz win
9%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 8

Match analysis

Bournemouth dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Sturm Graz. Bournemouth frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).

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