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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

Bundesliga · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 – 2 1899 Hoffenheim

The outcome rated most likely (a 1899 Hoffenheim win, 51%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
VS
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
28%
Draw
21%
1899 Hoffenheim win
51%
Expected goals
1.8 – 2.4
Expected shots
16 – 25

Match analysis

1899 Hoffenheim comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but Borussia Mönchengladbach finds a way in 28% of simulations. 1899 Hoffenheim frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 16:25 (UK time).

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