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Bologna vs Inter prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Final score: Bologna 1 – 3 Inter

The outcome rated most likely (a Inter win, 55%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Bologna
VS
Inter
Bologna win
19%
Draw
26%
Inter win
55%
Expected goals
1.2 – 2.0
Expected shots
5 – 25

Match analysis

Inter comes out on top in most scenarios (55% win rate), but Bologna finds a way in 19% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 16:01 (UK time).

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