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Benfica vs Celtic prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Benfica
VS
Celtic
Benfica win
62%
Draw
23%
Celtic win
15%
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.2
Expected shots
24 – 8

Match analysis

Benfica comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but Celtic finds a way in 15% of simulations. Benfica frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 53% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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