PredictiumFree Android app · Français

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Final score: Bayern München 6 – 1 RB Leipzig

The outcome rated most likely (a Bayern München win, 87%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Bayern München
VS
RB Leipzig
Bayern München win
87%
Draw
10%
RB Leipzig win
3%
Expected goals
3.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 7

Match analysis

Bayern München dominates this matchup: 87% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 3% for RB Leipzig. Bayern München frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 70% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 17:01 (UK time).

Exact scores, scorers and detailed markets in the free app

More predictions