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AS Roma vs Genoa prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: AS Roma 2 – 0 Genoa

The outcome rated most likely (a AS Roma win, 69%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

AS Roma
VS
Genoa
AS Roma win
69%
Draw
21%
Genoa win
10%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.7
Expected shots
25 – 8

Match analysis

AS Roma dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Genoa. AS Roma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 19:32 (UK time).

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