PredictiumFree Android app · Français

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Final score: AC Milan 3 – 2 Atalanta

The outcome rated most likely (a AC Milan win, 57%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

AC Milan
VS
Atalanta
AC Milan win
57%
Draw
26%
Atalanta win
17%
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Expected shots
14 – 11

Match analysis

AC Milan comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Atalanta finds a way in 17% of simulations. AC Milan frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 16:25 (UK time).

Exact scores, scorers and detailed markets in the free app

More predictions