Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
1899 Hoffenheim
VS
Beşiktaş
1899 Hoffenheim win
65%
Draw
21%
Beşiktaş win
14%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.4
Expected shots
23 – 16
Match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim comes out on top in most scenarios (64% win rate), but Beşiktaş finds a way in 14% of simulations. 1899 Hoffenheim frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 54% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:20 (UK time).