Ukraine vs Northern Ireland prediction

Nations League · Friday, 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Ukraine

VS

Northern Ireland

Ukraine win

51%

Draw

31%

Northern Ireland win

18%

Match analysis

Ukraine comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Northern Ireland finds a way in 18% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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