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Kazakhstan vs Moldova prediction

Nations League · Friday, 2 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)

Kazakhstan
VS
Moldova
Kazakhstan win
66%
Draw
24%
Moldova win
10%
Expected goals
2.0 – 0.8
Expected shots
17 – 8

Match analysis

Kazakhstan dominates this matchup: 66% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Moldova. Kazakhstan frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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