Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden prediction

Nations League · Friday, 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Bosnia & Herzegovina

VS

Sweden

Bosnia & Herzegovina win

38%

Draw

36%

Sweden win

26%

Match analysis

Bosnia & Herzegovina holds a real edge (37% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (36%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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