Nations League · Friday, 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Hungary
VS
Georgia
Hungary win
48%
Draw
30%
Georgia win
22%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Expected shots
12 – 13
Match analysis
Hungary holds a real edge (48% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 September at 01:10 (UK time).