Nations League · Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Scotland
VS
Switzerland
Scotland win
26%
Draw
31%
Switzerland win
43%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.6
Expected shots
12 – 13
Match analysis
Switzerland holds a real edge (43% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 September at 20:45 (UK time).