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San Marino vs Albania prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

San Marino
VS
Albania
San Marino win
25%
Draw
33%
Albania win
42%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.3
Expected shots
4 – 14

Match analysis

Albania holds a real edge (42% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 45% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 September at 20:44 (UK time).

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