Nations League · Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Czechia
VS
England
Czechia win
31%
Draw
29%
England win
40%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.7
Expected shots
13 – 15
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Czechia and England finish within a few points of each other (30% vs 40%), with the draw at 29%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 September at 20:44 (UK time).