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Bulgaria vs Estonia prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Bulgaria
VS
Estonia
Bulgaria win
30%
Draw
35%
Estonia win
35%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Expected shots
5 – 9

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Bulgaria and Estonia finish within a few points of each other (31% vs 35%), with the draw at 35%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 September at 20:44 (UK time).

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