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Romania vs Sweden prediction

Nations League · Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Romania
VS
Sweden
Romania win
54%
Draw
28%
Sweden win
18%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Expected shots
9 – 20

Match analysis

Romania comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Sweden finds a way in 18% of simulations. Romania frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 28 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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