Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland prediction

Nations League · Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Bosnia & Herzegovina

VS

Poland

Bosnia & Herzegovina win

30%

Draw

37%

Poland win

33%

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland finish within a few points of each other (30% vs 33%), with the draw at 37%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 28 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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