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Montenegro vs Armenia prediction

Nations League · Monday, 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Montenegro
VS
Armenia
Montenegro win
67%
Draw
23%
Armenia win
10%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.8
Expected shots
17 – 8

Match analysis

Montenegro dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Armenia. Montenegro frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 28 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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