Nations League · Monday, 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Romania
VS
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania win
72%
Draw
20%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win
8%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.7
Expected shots
13 – 13
Match analysis
Romania dominates this matchup: 72% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for Bosnia & Herzegovina. Romania frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 58% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 14:15 (UK time).