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Latvia vs Cyprus prediction

Nations League · Monday, 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Latvia
VS
Cyprus
Latvia win
13%
Draw
25%
Cyprus win
62%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.1
Expected shots
10 – 14

Match analysis

Cyprus comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but Latvia finds a way in 13% of simulations. Cyprus frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 14:14 (UK time).

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