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Georgia vs Ukraine prediction

Nations League · Monday, 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Georgia
VS
Ukraine
Georgia win
46%
Draw
31%
Ukraine win
23%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.1
Expected shots
11 – 9

Match analysis

Georgia holds a real edge (47% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 14:14 (UK time).

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