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Belgium vs France prediction

Nations League · Monday, 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Belgium
VS
France
Belgium win
37%
Draw
30%
France win
33%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Expected shots
14 – 17

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Belgium and France finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 33%), with the draw at 29%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 14:14 (UK time).

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