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Malta vs Gibraltar prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Malta
VS
Gibraltar
Malta win
61%
Draw
27%
Gibraltar win
12%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.7
Expected shots
18 – 4

Match analysis

Malta comes out on top in most scenarios (61% win rate), but Gibraltar finds a way in 12% of simulations. Malta frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 September at 01:20 (UK time).

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