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Denmark vs Portugal prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Denmark
VS
Portugal
Denmark win
41%
Draw
30%
Portugal win
29%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.4
Expected shots
9 – 18

Match analysis

Denmark holds a real edge (42% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 September at 01:19 (UK time).

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