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Greece vs Netherlands prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Greece
VS
Netherlands
Greece win
27%
Draw
31%
Netherlands win
42%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.6
Expected shots
7 – 20

Match analysis

Netherlands holds a real edge (43% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 September at 01:19 (UK time).

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