Nations League · Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Israel
VS
Kosovo
Israel win
44%
Draw
30%
Kosovo win
26%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.3
Expected shots
8 – 18
Match analysis
Israel holds a real edge (44% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 September at 01:20 (UK time).