Nations League · Friday, 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Faroe Islands
VS
Slovakia
Faroe Islands win
30%
Draw
34%
Slovakia win
36%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.3
Expected shots
4 – 24
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Faroe Islands and Slovakia finish within a few points of each other (30% vs 36%), with the draw at 34%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 September at 01:10 (UK time).