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Wales vs Denmark prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Wales
VS
Denmark
Wales win
22%
Draw
24%
Denmark win
54%
Expected goals
1.5 – 2.3
Expected shots
10 – 25

Match analysis

Denmark comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Wales finds a way in 22% of simulations. Denmark frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 45% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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