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Kosovo vs Austria prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Kosovo
VS
Austria
Kosovo win
38%
Draw
34%
Austria win
28%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Expected shots
11 – 11

Match analysis

Kosovo holds a real edge (38% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (34%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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