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Greece vs Germany prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Greece
VS
Germany
Greece win
24%
Draw
28%
Germany win
48%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.9
Expected shots
8 – 25

Match analysis

Germany holds a real edge (48% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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