Netherlands vs Serbia prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Netherlands

VS

Serbia

Netherlands win

70%

Draw

21%

Serbia win

9%

Match analysis

Netherlands dominates this matchup: 70% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Serbia. Netherlands frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 27 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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